As of now no matter who wins the 2012 Presidential election its sure to be an election without much enthusiasm.
Sure, there will be the fervent Tea Party who will have its loud minority cheer behind the Grand Old Party (GOP) nominee. There will be the Democrats who haven’t been influenced by the lack of any progress in Washington who will champion President Obama’s reelection.
The GOP has no defined strong candidate. Sarah Palin, while a Tea Party favorite, will most likely not gain the nomination because she is a media lightning rod, saying more idiotic comments then Joe Biden.
Newt Gingrich, being only a somewhat defined candidate, with his background of infidelity and multiple spouses will be a huge target for Democratic sympathizers.
There is the wild card of Donald Trump who, honestly, from an economic standpoint could hold his own in the White House. However, his flamboyant attitude and lack of discretion won’t gain him any favors and surely not the GOP nomination.
There is also the weak presentation from the Democratic side with President Obama.
The past few years and specifically the past few months have shown Obama’s support fading with him slipping below the 50% approval rating line and it will surely drop prior to the election nearly a year and a half away.
Obama has changed his policies on multiple issues, the most current being his stance on Military vs. Civilian trials for suspected terrorists in Guantanamo Bay.
His flip-flopping won’t gain him much support and his change towards a more right-leaning policy on some issues merely hurts him with his left-wing base and makes him look like a wish-washy hypocrite to right-wing sympathizers.
A weak GOP means that moderate republicans don’t have a strong candidate to root for.
However, the GOP will always have its die-hards who will vote republican if they nominated a broken paperclip who will always come out to vote.
Moderate republicans who don’t wish to vote democrat but see no reason to vote republican may not come out to the polls at all.
President Obama’s slipping support also leads to a lack of enthusiasm for the election.
One of the primary reasons for Obama’s being elected into office was his ability to stir up the masses and get people excited about his “change” and to have “hope” for the future of America.
With his current track record showing very little “change” from the previous administration, many Americans who once gave support to Obama are becoming outspoken about their lack of support for the once treasured candidate as shown through his approval ratings.
These two pieces of the equation come together to show that moderate voters will have a total lack of enthusiasm for the upcoming election. My prediction is voting numbers will drop dramatically from the prior election in 2008, when more people came out to vote than for any other presidential election in the last 40 years.
My stance on the issue is this: It is disheartening to see the upcoming election as one that won’t have much intensity behind it. I hope this changes and it turns into a real election where people truly get involved akin to the 2008 election.
This isn’t the time when American people should be standing idly as we face the largest deficit in US history, two wars, a military conflict and numerous crippled social programs like Social Security and Medicare.