Filling out an NCAA Tournament bracket is like rearranging a room. You fall in love with the first idea, but with a second look, you end up scrapping the whole thing.

For the average fan, it’s easy to pick the top seeds or teams with the best uniforms. Anybody can do that. The fun part is challenging yourself to find upsets and predicting which teams will make a surprise run.

It’s easier said than done.

What makes it tough is that there are so many unfamiliar schools. Old Dominian? Wofford? You can’t find them on a map, but they might be the teams that eliminate your Final Four picks. Not knowing the entire field could leave you thinking “why didn’t I pick them?”

Another challenge is identifying the best teams. In college basketball, records are misleading because some teams pile up wins against weak competition while others improve by going against the best.

That’s why stats like strength of schedule and RPI are used in an attempt compare teams. I know, huh? It’s really just a complicated bunch of numbers that offer little help in deciding which players will shine under pressure. I’ve seen math problems that are less complex.

The fact is that human athletes can’t be measured by odds and probability. ESPN has thousands of simulations for each game and they are usually right, but nothing can calculate which players will have the hot hand or step up in the clutch.

Unpredictability makes March Madness the most entertaining event in sports. The chance of an upset will put any fan on the edge of their seat, but will also drive one crazy if it costs them the office pool.

The basketball will be great, but that $5 bet will always be somewhere in the back of my mind. At this moment, I’m still debating between Kentucky and West Virginia to reach the Final Four in Indianapolis. That and about 10 other games.

Enough about me though. How’s your bracket?